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Topic: Worst team to bet in the country

Topic: Worst team to bet in the country

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DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/16/2019 9:07:14 PM

OU has the worst Across The Spread percentage in the country covering at just 21.7%. Hopefully you guys haven’t been putting any money on this team.

Worst 5
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/-
Ohio 5-18-0 21.7% -3.2 -4.0
Idaho 5-16-0 23.8% -8.0 -5.6
SF Aust 5-14-1 26.3% -1.1 -5.4
Marshall 7-19-1 26.9% -3.6 -6.6
Rider 7-19-0 26.9% 1.2 -3.2

Top 5
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/-
Sam Hous St 18-4-0 81.8% 6.2 +3.9
Drake 20-5-0 80.0% 5.4 +4.0
TX-Pan Am 19-6-1 76.0% 0.2 +4.6
Mississippi 19-6-0 76.0% 7.3 +2.5
Hofstra 19-6-0 76.0% 13.3 +5.3

ATS Record: The number of ATS covers, no-covers, and pushes
Cover %: The percentage of time the team covered, net of pushes
MOV: The average margin of victory (negative in losses)
ATS +/-: The average amount of points that the team covers the spread by

Source: https://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/trends/ats_trends /

Last Edited: 2/17/2019 12:23:09 AM by DaRif_G

@DaRif_G

bobcat2nc
General User

Member Since: 12/28/2004
Post Count: 584

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/16/2019 10:27:43 PM

Is this a foreign language😊? I haven’t a clue what this means except that apparently there is wagering involved.

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 12:26:12 AM

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

@DaRif_G

FearLeon
General User

Member Since: 3/12/2005
Post Count: 4,320

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 1:48:54 AM

DaRif_G wrote:

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

On the flip side, you'd make a hell of a lot of money if you had the discipline betting against Ohio every game this year. But I believe BVP tip-in at buzzer killed those CMU -7.5 tickets today. Keep your cash fellas...Vegas is able to build those big tall buildings for a reason.

Last Edited: 2/17/2019 1:49:59 AM by FearLeon

#BleedGreen #TrentIsGOAT

ou1982
General User

Member Since: 3/5/2011
Post Count: 145

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 9:37:04 AM

so what you're saying is OUr team is the best in the country...

OUr team is number 1...

bobcat2nc
General User

Member Since: 12/28/2004
Post Count: 584

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 9:39:22 AM

DaRif_G wrote:

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

Thanks!😊

Obc2
General User

Member Since: 11/8/2007
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Post Count: 596

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 10:05:16 AM

i visit Vegas in 8 days.

i always download the sportsbook app to wager on some MAC games, havent lost yet but ive broke even once.

i couldnt imagine betting against the Cats.. but i must admit i was afraid to take the points next week before reading these stats. now it seems foolish to do so.

Buckeye to Bobcat
General User

Member Since: 9/10/2013
Post Count: 1,796

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 10:06:22 AM

Sport lines have been a tricky read this year. Luckily I don't bet on OU simply because of their Jekyll and Hyde potential.....

Maddog13
General User

Member Since: 12/21/2004
Location: Albuquerque, NM
Post Count: 725

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 11:36:16 AM

Sports betting, as is the case with most Casino based betting, is one of those things that is best done with your head and not your heart; of course, all Casino related betting is always in favor of the house, so such undertakings are initially risky at best.

Which is riskier though, betting on the Bobcats to cover the spread this year or betting on the hiring of a coach to improve the overall fate of a program?

Any of our math savvy fellow 'Cats want to come up with what the odds are of our program being better in five years with a new coach vs. staying with Saul? Like it or not, there has to be some pros and cons in terms of both scenarios.

OhioCatFan
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Athens, OH
Post Count: 14,171

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 12:11:08 PM

DaRif_G wrote:

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

I actually take pleasure in knowing this fact. I care absolutely nothing about sports betting, but if my 'Cats set a record in messing up what bettors do, I kind of like that.

The only BLSS Certified Hypocrite on BA

"It is better to be an optimist and be proven a fool than to be a pessimist and be proven right."

Note: My avatar is the national colors of the 78th Ohio Veteran Volunteer Infantry, which are now preserved in a climate controlled vault at the Ohio History Connection. Learn more about the old 78th at: http://www.78ohio.org

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 12:25:20 PM

OhioCatFan wrote:

DaRif_G wrote:

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

I actually take pleasure in knowing this fact. I care absolutely nothing about sports betting, but if my 'Cats set a record in messing up what bettors do, I kind of like that.

You’re an evil person lol 😂

Last Edited: 2/17/2019 12:26:08 PM by DaRif_G

@DaRif_G

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 12:29:22 PM

FearLeon wrote:

DaRif_G wrote:

This Ohio team is the worst at covering the spread the oddsmakers set. They are the least profitable team in all of Division 1 college hoops.

Yes fade this team for the rest of the season for some extra cash.

@DaRif_G

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/17/2019 12:39:40 PM

Maddog13 wrote:

I’m not math savvy but I still think you may have a better chance at getting the Bobcats to cover the spread than correctly picking the next coach. The Cats cover chance is at 21.7%. From the other coach thread there are something like 10 coach names. Just on math alone you’d have a 10% chance at picking the correct coach. Obviously things like location, salary, age experience aren’t taken into account which would change the potential candidates’ odds. They would definitely change the odds. Now being able to determine if the new coach could improve the program? Again not scientific but seems like there’s more room to go up rather than down!

@DaRif_G

Andrew Ruck
General User

Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 4,884

Status: Online

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/18/2019 9:41:40 AM

Wow that is pretty amazing. I've always said teams that fall short of the spread are the teams that have fallen short of expectations. A good depiction of how disappointing things have went this year.

Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

bobcat695
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Parkersburg, WV
Post Count: 1,345

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/18/2019 9:44:38 AM

I hit a 6-bet parlay on Saturday. I got the first 5 games right, then had to sweat out CMU -6.5 for a $1,000 payout on a $20 bet. The end of that game didn't look like it was going to go my way. I have made a killing this year betting against OU legally in West Virginia. Having action on these games is the only way I am remotely interested.

"You can't un-fist a fist pump." - Saul Phillips 1/24/15

giacomo
General User

Member Since: 11/20/2007
Post Count: 2,688

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/18/2019 11:16:49 AM

That's why they call it gambling.

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/18/2019 9:24:45 PM

bobcat695 wrote:

Nice! Who else was in that parlay? Ohio needs to get it together and get it legalized here.

@DaRif_G

Chicken George
General User

Member Since: 1/2/2005
Post Count: 762

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/18/2019 10:02:29 PM

Trivia—when was the last time OHIO was +19.5 in a regular season MAC men’s basketball game?

(Hint: I have no clue what the answer is)

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/19/2019 1:33:33 AM

Chicken George wrote:

Trivia—when was the last time OHIO was +19.5 in a regular season MAC men’s basketball game?

(Hint: I have no clue what the answer is)

Oof. Tomorrow’s gonna be ugly.

I just know they were a 16.5 dog to Purdue this year.

@DaRif_G

bobcat695
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Parkersburg, WV
Post Count: 1,345

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/19/2019 9:43:55 AM

DaRif_G wrote:

bobcat695 wrote:

Nice! Who else was in that parlay? Ohio needs to get it together and get it legalized here.

South Carolina -4 (won by 7)
Southern Miss -9 (won by 30)
Iowa St +3 (won by 14)
Kansas -15 (won by 25)
Minnesota -3.5 (won by 21)
CMU -6.5 (won by 7)

The only other team I have made more money on is betting against WVU. They're terrible. Had to wait a little longer last night, but they eventually allowed KSU to easily cover.

Last Edited: 2/19/2019 9:47:17 AM by bobcat695

"You can't un-fist a fist pump." - Saul Phillips 1/24/15

bobcat695
General User

Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Parkersburg, WV
Post Count: 1,345

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/20/2019 10:43:45 AM

And it continues. No spread is too big for the Bobcats. $$$

"You can't un-fist a fist pump." - Saul Phillips 1/24/15

Obc2
General User

Member Since: 11/8/2007
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Post Count: 596

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/20/2019 4:31:48 PM

T minus 6 days until i lay the points...sad!

imma blow the winnings on stone crab.

Buckeye to Bobcat
General User

Member Since: 9/10/2013
Post Count: 1,796

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/20/2019 4:42:25 PM

Obc2 wrote:

T minus 6 days until i lay the points...sad!

imma blow the winnings on stone crab.

Solid call.....blew mine at a craps table......quite the joy to say the least when i found out my skills at shooting craps made a lotta folks money

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/20/2019 9:53:22 PM

BG was a 4 point favorite last game in BG and they won by -19. OU has only been a home dog twice this year against Marshall and the 2nd meeting with ball state. I see the line being set at least BG -5 or 6. I would lay those points easily. I don’t know how but I don’t think the books have figured at OU at this point.

@DaRif_G

DaRif_G
General User

Member Since: 1/11/2014
Location: Ohio
Post Count: 25

Status: Offline

RE: Worst team to bet in the country

Posted: 2/21/2019 8:28:50 PM

Obc2 wrote:

T minus 6 days until i lay the points...sad!

imma blow the winnings on stone crab.

BG opens as a 5 point favorite like I thought. Lay those points!!!!

@DaRif_G

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