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Topic:  NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom

Topic:  NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
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OUVan
General User



Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Bethesda, MD
Post Count: 5,580

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  Message Not Read  NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 3:39:50 PM 
Just did a quick comparison of the Seeds that teams received compared to their KenPom rating and here are the winners and losers:

WINNERS SEED/KENPOM
Oklahoma St 4/8 -4
West Virginia 3/7 -4
Texas 3/7 -4
Clemson 7/10 -3
Kansas 3/6 -3
Missouri 9/11 -2
Oregon 7/9 -2
Florida 7/9 -2
Arkansas 3/5 -2

LOSERS SEED/KENPOM
Wisconsin 9/3 +6
Loyola Chicago 8/3 +5
UConn 7/4 +3
St. Bonaventure 9/6 +3
Villanova 5/3 +2
USC 6/4 +2
Maryland 10/8 +2

Everybody else was +/- 1 or even. Both Virginia and Ohio were +1. Per KenPom we were a 12 and UVa was a 3. For what it's worth.
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Andrew Ruck
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Member Since: 12/22/2004
Location: Columbus, OH
Post Count: 4,882

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 3:43:46 PM 
I saw Sagarin has Virginia #8 in the country which sounds scary. Ohio at #107...still behind Toledo & Buffalo. But in the "recent" column, Ohio is #43 and Virginia #24.


Andrew Ruck
B.B.A. 2003

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longtiimelurker
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Member Since: 2/2/2017
Post Count: 587

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  Message Not Read  RE: NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 6:14:30 PM 
Pomeroy does his analytics from what I am reading, based on equations and values he assigns?

Sagarins are based on computer analysis of records, opponent's records and opponent's opponents records.

Do I have that right?

Interesting comparisons to look at and use. I think I will try to look at those versus the NET ratings.
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Bobcat110
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Member Since: 3/5/2005
Location: Mount Gilead, OH
Post Count: 700

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 7:04:53 PM 
Keep seeing KenPorn.


Time to get reading glasses

Last Edited: 3/18/2021 7:06:23 PM by Bobcat110

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bornacatfan
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Member Since: 8/3/2006
Post Count: 5,711

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  Message Not Read  RE: NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 7:35:43 PM 
Bobcat110 wrote:
Keep seeing KenPorn.


Time to get reading glasses


Basketball is my Porn....I could look at it all day every day. That and motorcycles....especially if they are Kawi Green.


never argue with idiots, they bring you down to their level and beat you with experience.

Winter comes and asks how you spent your summer.....

The game loves and rewards those who love and reward the game

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UpSan Bobcat
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Member Since: 8/30/2005
Location: Upper Sandusky, OH
Post Count: 3,799

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: NCAA Tourney: Seeds vs KenPom
   Posted: 3/18/2021 8:37:07 PM 
longtiimelurker wrote:
Pomeroy does his analytics from what I am reading, based on equations and values he assigns?

Sagarins are based on computer analysis of records, opponent's records and opponent's opponents records.

Do I have that right?

Interesting comparisons to look at and use. I think I will try to look at those versus the NET ratings.


I believe Ken Pomeroy's are based on statisical analysis (offense, defense, rebounding, shooting weighted against strength of opponents) more than the win/loss results. Sagarin ratings only account for wins, losses and scoring margin.
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