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L.C.
General User
Member Since: 8/31/2005
Location: United States
Post Count: 10,488
Status: Offline
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| If recruiting rankings were what mattered: |
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Posted: 11/28/2016 2:57:44 PM |
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Suppose the final results were a match for the recruiting rankings, what would the standings look like this year? I did a composite of the rankings from 247Sports, which in turn factor in the other rating services, and weighted them by year. I came up with this order, and added their conference record to the table:
Toledo - 1928 (6-2)
WMU - 1842 (8-0)
BG - 1710 (3-5)
NIU - 1610 (5-3)
Miami - 1608 (6-2)
CMU - 1558 (3-5)
Ball St - 1546 (1-7)
Ohio - 1537 (6-2)
Kent - 1396 (2-6)
EMU - 1376 (4-4)
Buffalo 1277 (1-7)
Akron - 1255 (3-5)
Note that because they rely so heaving on JUCOs and xfers, this method isn't going to work for predicting Akron, and they will always be predicted last since most of their players won't really be included in the recruiting numbers.
Teams that did better than the recruiting numbers would forecast (meaning that they got a lot out of the talent that they had) include EMU and Ohio. Teams that did worse (meaning they have the potential to use their talent better) include BG and Ball State.
What is the forecast for 2017? Sine 2017 classes aren't done, there will still be some shift, but it looks like:
WMU 2032
Toledo 1902
NIU 1678
BG 1670
Miami 1612
Ball St 1550
Ohio 1538
CMU 1530
EMU 1361
Buffalo 1367
Kent 1360
Akron 1317
WMU and Toledo will continue to be far ahead of everyone else. The rest of the conference will be pretty close, and not far from where they are this year. A repeat in 2017 of an Ohio WMU Championship could happen.
Let's win it this year, and worry about next year later, though.
Last Edited: 11/28/2016 2:58:44 PM by L.C.
“We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.” ― Epictetus
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