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Ohio Football

Topic: The MAC East

Topic: The MAC East

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Pataskala
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Member Since: 7/8/2010
Location: At least six feet away from anybody else
Post Count: 9,363

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The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 8:25:59 PM

BG 3-1
Akron 2-1
Ohio 2-2
UMass 2-2
Buff 1-2
Fiami 1-3
Kent 0-3

We're only one game behind BG, but...BG has the tiebreaker vs every 2-loss team in the division. We can still win the division, but we need a lot of help. We can't be in a tie with BG, no matter who else is involved. So, we need to win out, BG has to lose two and Akron has to lose at least one more. (Don't expect UMass to win out; they still have Toledo and Akron on the schedule, and either Pohl will be back or Woodson will be better by 11/18 when they play.) The toughest games left on BG's schedule are at Akron (11/4 -- BG doesn't play 'til then; they have 18 days 'til their next game) and at Toledo (11/19). They also have Kent and BSU at home.

We will get by.
We will get by.
We will get by.
We will survive.

lovebobcat
General User

Member Since: 12/23/2004
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Post Count: 521

Status: Offline

RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 9:39:38 PM

What if BG loses to Akron and there's a 3-way tie with two losses between BG, Akron and OU? That's what you describe, but does anyone know who'd win that tiebreaker?

Last Edited: 10/18/2014 9:41:37 PM by lovebobcat

C Money
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Member Since: 8/28/2010
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RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 9:44:21 PM

I think we lose that 3 way tie-breaker due to the worse East Division record (we only play 5 East teams, so at best we would be 4-1 to BG's 5-1).

Casper71
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Member Since: 12/1/2006
Post Count: 3,090

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RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 9:50:57 PM

In one word: SUCKS!

Tyler
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Member Since: 7/7/2010
Location: Arizona
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RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 9:59:27 PM

C Money wrote:

I think we lose that 3 way tie-breaker due to the worse East Division record (we only play 5 East teams, so at best we would be 4-1 to BG's 5-1).

I think this is right. Either that, or if Akron's second loss is to an East team (next week at Ball State is their last game against the West), they would drop out of the three-way tie and BG would have us beat on head-to-head record.

Either way, we need to win out and have BG lose two of four.

L.C.
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Member Since: 8/31/2005
Location: United States
Post Count: 10,492

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RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/18/2014 10:19:51 PM

There are scenarios where Ohio win (such as, BG loses to Akron and Toledo, and Akron loses to Ball State), but given that Ohio has a lot of games to play yet...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s2R2sH2ScBM

�We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.� ― Epictetus

L.C.
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Member Since: 8/31/2005
Location: United States
Post Count: 10,492

Status: Offline

RE: The MAC East

Posted: 10/19/2014 10:15:25 AM

Per Team Rankings, the odds of each team winning the MACC:

Toledo 42.1%
Akron 21.0%
BG 14.5%
NIU 13.8%
WMU 4.5%
CMU 1.2%
Ohio 1.2%
Buffalo 1.1%
UMass .3%
Ball State .1%
Kent .1%

They also project the most likely bowl teams, and expected wins:
NIU 8.3
Toledo 7.7
WMU 7.4
Akron 7.3
BG 7.1
CMU 6.8
Ohio 5.6

They give Ohio a 54.6% chance of being bowl eligible.
http://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/team/ohio-bo...

1.2% isn't worth worrying about. Let's hope they can win one at a time, and see where things end up.

�We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.� ― Epictetus

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