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Topic:  Bowl picture (11/18)

Topic:  Bowl picture (11/18)
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Pataskala
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  Message Not Read  Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/18/2018 11:44:53 AM 
There are 71 teams that are already bowl eligible. Three games next week involve a pair of 5-6 teams, so the winners of those games will be eligible. That makes 74. Another 17 still have a chance. Based on the remaining schedules, another seven teams (SMiss, SMU, Coastal, Tulane, Wyo, Fiami and FAU) are likely to be bowl eligible. ND has a tie-in with the ACC. SMiss and VaTech play only 11 games. Ole Miss is on probation and is ineligible. Liberty played two 1AA schools so they had to win seven but can't now.

Edit: VaTech and T'erd have scheduled a game for Dec 1, conditioned on VaTech beating UVA next week. Both teams had games cancelled earlier in the season. The charts now reflect this.

AAC [7]: In (6) ̶ Cincy, USF, UCF, Houston, Memphis, Temps
Still possible (2) ̶ SMU (5-6), Tulane (5-6)
Out (4) ̶ UConn, Tulsa, Navy, ECU

ACC [10]: In (10) ̶ Clemson, BC, UVA, Syracuse, NCSt, Duke, GaTech, Pitt, MiamiF, ND+
Still possible (3?) ̶ Wake (5-6), FSU (5-6), VaTech (4-6)**
Out (2) ̶ L'ville, UNC

B12 [7]: In (6): Texas, Okla, WVU, IowaSt, OklaSt, Baylor-TxTech winner
Still possible (2) ̶ TCU (5-6), KState (5-6)
Out (2) ̶ Kansas, Baylor-TxTech loser

B10 [9]: In (8) ̶ O$U, Mich, Iowa, PennSt, Wis, MSU, NWern, Purdue-Ind winner
Still possible (2) ̶ MD (5-6), Minn (5-6)
Out (4) ̶ Rutgers, Neb, Ill, Purdue-Ind loser

CUSA [6]: In (6) ̶ NTex, UAB, LaTech, FIU, MTSU, T'erd
Still possible (2) ̶ FAU (5-6), SMiss^ (5-5)
Out (6) ̶ Rice, UTEP, ODU, WKU, UTSA, Charlotte

MAC [5]: In (6) ̶ Buffalo, WMU, OHIO, NIU, EMU, Toledo
Still possible (2) ̶ Fiami (5-6), Akron (4-6)
Out (4) ̶ Kent, BG, CMU, BSU

MWC [5]: In (6) ̶ UtahSt, SDSU, Fresno, Boise, Nev, Hawaii
Still possible (1) ̶ Wyo (5-6)
Out (4) ̶ SJSt, UNLV, NM, ColoSt, Air Force

Pac-12 [7]: In (7) ̶ Wash, WashSt, Utah, Ore, ArizSt, Stanford, Cal
Still possible (3) ̶ Colo (5-6), Ariz (5-6), USC (5-6)
Out (2) ̶ UCLA, OreSt

SEC [10]: In (11) ̶ Georgia, Bama, Fla, LSU, UK, Auburn, MissSt, Mizzou, TxAM, SoCar, Tenn-Vandy winner
Out (3) ̶ Ark, , Tenn-Vandy loser

Sun Belt [5]: In: (6) ̶ GaSo, Troy, AppSt, ArkSt, ULM, Louisiana
Still possible (1) ̶ Coastal (5-6)
Out (3) ̶ GaSt, SBama, TxSt

Indies [1]: In (2) ̶ Army, BYU
Out (3) ̶ NMSU, UMass, Liberty*

Here are the remaining schedules for the teams that are left, ranked from softest schedule to most difficult.

SMiss (5-5) at UTEP (1-10)
SMU (5-6) at Tulsa (2-9)
Coastal (5-6) at SBama (2-9)
Tulane (5-6) vs Navy (3-8)
Wyo (5-6) at NM (3-8)
Fiami (5-6) vs BSU (4-7)
FAU (5-6) vs Charlotte (4-7)
Ariz (5-6) vs ArizSt (6-5)
TCU (5-6) vs OklaSt (6-5)
KState (5-6) at IowaSt (6-4)
Colo (5-6) at Cal (6-4)
Minn (5-6) at Wis (7-4)
Wake (5-6) at Duke (7-4)
FSU (5-6) vs Fla (8-3)
MD (5-6) at PennSt (8-3)
USC (5-6) vs ND (11-0)
VaTech (4-6) vs UVA (7-4), maybe vs T'erd (7-3)
Akron (4-6) at Ohio (7-4), at SoCar (6-4)

Last Edited: 11/18/2018 1:51:45 PM by Pataskala

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Victory
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/18/2018 12:42:45 PM 
TeamRankings predicts 81 teams.

Fla Atlantic 88.10%
Miami (OH) 85.90%
S Mississippi 83.40%
Texas Tech 77.10%
Vanderbilt 69.40%
Tulane 67.00%
Purdue 60.70%
Coastal Car 57.60%
Wyoming 54.60%
S Methodist 51.30%
TX Christian 49.10%
Arizona 41.30%
Indiana 39.30%
Colorado 32.00%
Tennessee 30.60%
Florida St 25.20%
Baylor 22.90%
USC 20.50%
Kansas St 18.80%
Minnesota 16.00%
Wake Forest 12.90%
Maryland 12.90%
Akron 0.30%
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Pataskala
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/18/2018 1:43:30 PM 
Just saw that if VaTech (4-6) wins at home this week vs UVA (7-4) they'll host T'erd (7-3) on Dec 1. Both VaTech and T'erd had games cancelled earlier this year.

Last Edited: 11/18/2018 1:52:58 PM by Pataskala

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colobobcat66
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/18/2018 2:20:34 PM 
No problem finding enough teams this year. Nobody will be complaining about 5-7 teams getting in.
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TWT
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/18/2018 10:59:11 PM 
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.

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colobobcat66
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 2:25:57 AM 
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


I would think the bowls would like our offensive numbers.
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Bcat2
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 7:16:17 AM 
colobobcat66 wrote:
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


I would think the bowls would like our offensive numbers.


If memory serves what bowls really care about are fans who will follow the team and fill hotels a student block not bent on destruction, a great band to lend to the atmosphere and a commitment to buying a minimum block of tickets.

"Do not pray for easy lives. Pray to be stronger men." JFK

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Tymaster
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 7:41:13 AM 
Shouldn't Akron read "eliminated?" Due to not playing Nebraska, they only have 11 games and even with a win at Ohio, they'll be 5-6 at best.
Edited to add - I see that they added a 12/1 game. I guess they never hoped to be in the MACC. :) LOL

Last Edited: 11/19/2018 8:07:40 AM by Tymaster
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ExCat21
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 9:23:42 AM 
Akron plays south Carolina on the road on Dec 1st. Not a bad last game for seniors who may not go to a bowl game. And a cherry on top for beating Big10 West champ Northwestern. And Nebraska officially sucks for playing Bethune Cookman in its last game.
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Pataskala
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 12:16:18 PM 
Bcat2 wrote:
colobobcat66 wrote:
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


I would think the bowls would like our offensive numbers.


If memory serves what bowls really care about are fans who will follow the team and fill hotels a student block not bent on destruction, a great band to lend to the atmosphere and a commitment to buying a minimum block of tickets.



Since ESPN owns the MAC tie-in bowls, eyes on screen are also a big factor for them. Offense brings viewers.

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Bcat2
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 12:32:18 PM 
Pataskala wrote:
Bcat2 wrote:
colobobcat66 wrote:
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


I would think the bowls would like our offensive numbers.


If memory serves what bowls really care about are fans who will follow the team and fill hotels a student block not bent on destruction, a great band to lend to the atmosphere and a commitment to buying a minimum block of tickets.



Since ESPN owns the MAC tie-in bowls, eyes on screen are also a big factor for them. Offense brings viewers.


"Offense brings viewers." Yes indeed, yet "defense wins championships."

"Do not pray for easy lives. Pray to be stronger men." JFK

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colobobcat66
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 1:05:14 PM 
Bcat2 wrote:
colobobcat66 wrote:
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


I would think the bowls would like our offensive numbers.


If memory serves what bowls really care about are fans who will follow the team and fill hotels a student block not bent on destruction, a great band to lend to the atmosphere and a commitment to buying a minimum block of tickets.



I’m not sure that these tv time fill in bowls have ticket requirements like the old bowls do. May be wrong but I don’t recall any requirements for the Bahamas bowl for instance.
They also won’t find any student block not bent on destruction so I’m not seeing that as a factor.

Last Edited: 11/19/2018 1:06:44 PM by colobobcat66
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Tymaster
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 2:12:20 PM 
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


6-6 OU team is probably not getting the call, re: 2014 team. 7-5 or 8-4 is a lock. I don't know that OU sells more than a couple thousand bowl tickets but they are a name that people expect to see at bowl season in the early bowls.
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ytownbobcat
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 3:33:01 PM 
It would be nice to get a bowl game with a Power 5 team. Maybe mid-level big 10 or similar. Chance to feature our offense and right some wrongs from this season.
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Tymaster
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 4:23:24 PM 
I'd love to take on a 7-5 or 6-6 Big Ten team.
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ExCat21
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 4:29:18 PM 
Our best bet is the Frisco Bowl. I dont see Buffalo or NIU representing us in that bowl. Plus we can recruit Texas if we get the call.

Last Edited: 11/19/2018 4:29:31 PM by ExCat21
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Pataskala
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 4:40:52 PM 
Tymaster wrote:
Uncle Wes wrote:
In the MAC 6-6 can be dicey but at 7 wins we are good plus the big Buffalo win last week probably keeps us past EMU and Toledo in the pecking order. There should be some nice options for us this year.


6-6 OU team is probably not getting the call, re: 2014 team. 7-5 or 8-4 is a lock. I don't know that OU sells more than a couple thousand bowl tickets but they are a name that people expect to see at bowl season in the early bowls.


I'd think that a 6-6 Fiami would move ahead any possible 6-6 team in the West (WMU, Toledo, EMU). Fiami would be 6-2 in the MAC, while the other three would only be 4-4. WMU probably has to win tomorrow night to have a shot at a bowl because of the way they've faded in November without Wassink.

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Tymaster
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/19/2018 5:11:22 PM 
I'm all about a bowl we haven't been in.
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Victory
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/20/2018 7:49:51 PM 
Jerry Palm (CBS) 12/29 Frisco Bowl (Dallas) vs. Houston
Kyle Bonagura (ESPN) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. San Diego State
Mitch Sherman (ESPN) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. Georgia Southern
Brant Parsons (Orlando Sentinel) 12/26 Quick Lane Bowl (Detroit) vs. Miami
Erick Smith (USAToday) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. Boise State
Pete Fiutak (CFN) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. UL-Monroe
Jason Kirk (SBNation) 12/29 Frisco Bowl (Dallas) vs. Tulane
Eric Single (SI) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. Georgia Southern
Bill Bender (TSN) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. Boise State
Steven Lassan (Athlon) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. UL-Monroe
College Sports Madness 12/22 Dollar General Bowl (Mobile) vs. Troy
Stewart Mandel (Fox) 12/19 Miami Beach Bowl (Miami) vs. Tulsa
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bobcat28
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/21/2018 1:11:27 PM 
I'll take miami, sdsu, houston or even Tulane. But please not ga southern, but I'm afraid that is where we are headed.
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shabamon
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/21/2018 2:49:51 PM 
Would they really put Boise State in the Potato Bowl?
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Bobcat1996
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/21/2018 8:51:00 PM 
I could be wrong, but doubt the Bobcats play in a bowl game after Christmas.
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bshot44
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/22/2018 12:30:28 AM 
Victory wrote:
Jerry Palm (CBS) 12/29 Frisco Bowl (Dallas) vs. Houston
Kyle Bonagura (ESPN) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. San Diego State
Mitch Sherman (ESPN) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. Georgia Southern
Brant Parsons (Orlando Sentinel) 12/26 Quick Lane Bowl (Detroit) vs. Miami
Erick Smith (USAToday) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. Boise State
Pete Fiutak (CFN) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. UL-Monroe
Jason Kirk (SBNation) 12/29 Frisco Bowl (Dallas) vs. Tulane
Eric Single (SI) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. Georgia Southern
Bill Bender (TSN) 12/21 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Boise) vs. Boise State
Steven Lassan (Athlon) 12/15 Camellia Bowl (Montgomery) vs. UL-Monroe
College Sports Madness 12/22 Dollar General Bowl (Mobile) vs. Troy
Stewart Mandel (Fox) 12/19 Miami Beach Bowl (Miami) vs. Tulsa


Brett McMurphy (Stadium) Nothing.

This is exactly why a lot of these projections are laughable. They're just taking wild guesses.

Who really thinks they'll put Ohio vs. Troy in Dollar General Bowl AGAIN!?!?

I'd love match-up with Miami FL! Rare chance to play a CFB blue blood
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Pataskala
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/22/2018 10:22:53 AM 
Just for kicks, here are the bowls that may have slots open because some conferences may be short on eligible teams. They're generally the last ones on the conference's pecking order. Of course, lots of haggling goes on when filling bowl slots.

AAC -- Currently is one team short and will likely have UCF getting a NY6 bowl game, so it might be two teams short. Caveat: Two more AAC teams are likely to be bowl eligible this weekend.
Boca Raton vs CUSA
Cure (Orlando) vs Sun Belt

ACC -- May be two teams short because Clemson and ND (which has a bowl tie-in deal with the ACC) are currently in the top 4 for the playoff.
Gasparilla (Tampa) vs B10
First Responder (Dallas) vs B10

B12 -- Is currently one team short.
Armed Forces (Fort Worth) vs AAC

B10 -- Is currently one team short and could be two if Mich wins Saturday.
Quick Lane (Detroit) vs ACC
First Responder vs ACC

The conferences that already have more eligible teams than tie-ins are MAC (+2), MWC (+1), and Sun Belt (+1). SEC is +1 but they'll likely have a team in the playoff.

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oubobcatjohn
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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (11/18)
   Posted: 11/23/2018 1:01:52 AM 
Bobcats could get a nice bowl this time if the beat Akron to finish 8-4. That would give them 2nd overall record in the MAC. Would hope for Boise or Frisco vs a solid MWC or AAC team.
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