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Topic:  Bowl picture (10/14)

Topic:  Bowl picture (10/14)
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Pataskala
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Member Since: 7/8/2010
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  Message Not Read  Bowl picture (10/14)
   Posted: 10/14/2018 11:35:55 AM 
Here we go again. Here's the current bowl picture by conference. There are 78 slots for the 39 bowls; 72 are taken up by bowl tie-ins and there are six at-large slots. At the moment, 14 teams are in and another 72 teams can become eligible by winning half their remaining games or fewer. Notre Dame can get a bowl that has a tie-in with the ACC. Hawaii plays 13 games, so they need to win seven for eligibility. Liberty is in a transition year, so they might need NCAA permission to be in a bowl.

AAC [7]: In (3) ̶ Cincy, USF, UCF; Need one win (1) ̶ Houston; Need two wins (2) ̶ Memphis, Temps

ACC [10]: In (2) ̶ Clemson, ND+; Need one win (4) ̶ NCSt, MiamiF, BC, Duke; Need two wins (3) ̶ Syracuse, VaTech, UVA; Can go ≤ .500 (2) ‒ FSU, Wake

B12 [7]: In (1): Texas; Need one win (2) ̶ WVU, Okla; Need two wins (3) ̶ Baylor, OklaSt,TxTech; Can go ≤ .500 (2) ‒ TCU, IowaSt

B10 [9]: In (2) ̶ O$U, Mich; Need one win (1) ̶ Iowa; Need two wins (5) ̶ PennSt, Ind, Wis, MD, MSU; Can go ≤ .500 (4) ‒ Purdue, Ill, Minn

CUSA [6]: In (1) ̶ NTex; Need one win (1) ̶ UAB; Need two wins (3) ̶ FIU, T'erd, LaTech; Can go ≤ .500 (3) ‒ MTSU, Charlotte, FAU

MAC [5]: In (1) ̶ Buffalo; Need one win (1) ̶ WMU; Need two wins (1) ̶ NIU; Can go ≤ .500 (2) ‒ OHIO, Toledo

MWC [5]: In (0); Need one win (4) ̶ Hawaii*, UtahSt, SDSU, Fresno; Need two wins (1) ̶ Boise; Can go ≤ .500 (1) ‒ NM,

Pac-12 [7]: In (0): Need one win (4) ̶ Wash, WashSt, Colo, Ore; Need two wins (3) ̶ Stanford, Utah, USC; Can go ≤ .500 (2) ‒ Cal, ArizSt

SEC [10]: In (4) ̶ Georgia, Bama, Fla, LSU; Need one win (3) ̶ UK, TxAM, Miss; Need two wins (2) ̶ MissSt, Auburn; Can go ≤ .500 (3) ‒ SoCar, Tenn, Mizzou

Sun Belt [5]: In: (0); Need one win (2) ̶ Troy, GaSo; Need two wins (1) ̶ AppSt; Can go ≤ .500 (3) ‒ Coastal, ArkSt, Louisiana

Indies [1]: In (0); Need two wins (2) ̶ Army, BYU; Can go ≤ .500 (1) ‒ Liberty#


We will get by.
We will get by.
We will get by.
We will survive.

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Victory
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Member Since: 3/10/2012
Post Count: 2,270

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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (10/14)
   Posted: 10/14/2018 11:50:46 AM 
The sum of chances at teamrankings is 77.6 eligible on average. This is a few tenths less than last week. It is counting Liberty at 0%. 6-6 would probably get Ohio a bowl but it is very up in the air.
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bshot44
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Member Since: 2/12/2012
Post Count: 2,211

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  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (10/14)
   Posted: 10/14/2018 12:02:13 PM 
Victory wrote:
The sum of chances at teamrankings is 77.6 eligible on average. This is a few tenths less than last week. It is counting Liberty at 0%. 6-6 would probably get Ohio a bowl but it is very up in the air.


A) That 6-6 gets Ohio a bowl

B) Ohio gets to 6-6

C) All of the above

I'll lean B in a big way
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Pataskala
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Member Since: 7/8/2010
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Post Count: 9,339

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (10/14)
   Posted: 10/14/2018 1:31:27 PM 
bshot44 wrote:
Victory wrote:
The sum of chances at teamrankings is 77.6 eligible on average. This is a few tenths less than last week. It is counting Liberty at 0%. 6-6 would probably get Ohio a bowl but it is very up in the air.


A) That 6-6 gets Ohio a bowl

B) Ohio gets to 6-6

C) All of the above

I'll lean B in a big way


Because the MAC did so poorly OOC this year, six wins might be enough to get a bowl bid. The MAC has five primary bowl tie-ins and right now only five MAC teams are either in or need to win half or fewer of their remaining games to be eligible. Of the other seven teams, Fiami, BSU, EMU and Akron have the best chance of becoming eligible. Fiami, BSU and EMU have to win three of their last five; Akron has to win four of six (Akron hasn't yet scheduled a replacement for the cancelled Nebraska game).

There are some "elimination" games: EMU-BSU this week; Akron-EMU 11/10; Fiami-BSU 11/20. And the rest of their schedules aren't easy (except maybe for Akron):

Fiami: at Army; at Buffalo; vs Ohio; at NIU
BSU: at Ohio; at Toledo; vs WMU
EMU: vs Army; vs CMU; at WMU
Akron: at Kent; vs CMU; vs NIU; vs BG; at Ohio

So, the MAC might not have more bowl eligible teams than bids, as it has in past years.


We will get by.
We will get by.
We will get by.
We will survive.

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bshot44
General User



Member Since: 2/12/2012
Post Count: 2,211

Status: Offline

  Message Not Read  RE: Bowl picture (10/14)
   Posted: 10/14/2018 1:52:01 PM 
That's even more depressing after reading it.

What a league!
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