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Ohio Football

Topic: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Topic: Bowl Projections 2023-24

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Trevor Stephens
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Member Since: 12/13/2017
Post Count: 228

Status: Offline

Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/6/2023 10:03:17 PM

MAC Bowl Games: https://collegefootballnews.com/bowl-projections/college-...

Bowl Game Schedules: https://fbschedules.com/college-football-bowl-schedule /

Ohio Bowl Projections - After Week 3 - Updated 9/18

USA Today: Camellia Bowl vs. Troy

Athlon Sports: 68 Ventures Bowl vs. Georgia Southern

College Football Network: Boca Raton Bowl vs Coastal Carolina

Action Sports/ Brett McMurphy: 68 Ventures Bowl vs South Alabama

CBS Sports: Arizona Bowl vs Air Force

ESPN Bonagura: Bahamas Bowl vs. Liberty

ESPN Schlabach: Quick Lane Bowl vs. Michigan State

24/7 Sports: Camellia Bowl vs. Appalachian State

College Sports Madness: Famous Idaho Potato Bowl vs Wyoming

CFN: Camellia Bowl vs. Marshall

Last Edited: 9/18/2023 4:55:46 PM by Trevor Stephens

BillyTheCat
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Member Since: 10/6/2012
Post Count: 8,949

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 7:42:30 AM

So, we should start a travel thread and get our Bowl tickets?

Campus Flow
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Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 4,862

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 10:11:42 AM

Ask again in a couple of days. Win on Saturday and the Cats only have to be 4-4 in MAC play to make a bowl. After that we can all buy tickets to a different G5 bowl game and one of us will surely be right.

Most Memorable Bobcat Events Attended
2010 97-83 win over Georgetown in NCAA 1st round
2012 45-13 victory over ULM in the Independence Bowl
2015 34-3 drubbing of Miami @ Peden front of 25,086

M.D.W.S.T
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Member Since: 12/23/2021
Post Count: 853

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 10:39:05 AM

It's never too early for my yearly WHY ARENT LOWER TIER BOWLS REGIONAL war cry.

Every time I see a game featuring two midwestern teams in front of 18 people in Alabama I wanna throw my TV into the ocean.

BryanHall
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Member Since: 9/11/2010
Post Count: 375

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 11:05:39 AM

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

OhioCatFan
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Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Athens, OH
Post Count: 13,773

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 2:17:44 PM

BryanHall wrote:

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

I would support this idea if Cinci had a domed stadium! [Oh, yes, and it had good shuttle bus service!]

The only BLSS Certified Hypocrite on BA

"It is better to be an optimist and be proven a fool than to be a pessimist and be proven right."

Note: My avatar is the national colors of the 78th Ohio Veteran Volunteer Infantry, which are now preserved in a climate controlled vault at the Ohio History Connection. Learn more about the old 78th at: http://www.78ohio.org

OUcats82
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Member Since: 1/9/2005
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Post Count: 1,794

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/7/2023 9:51:53 PM

OhioCatFan wrote:

BryanHall wrote:

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

I would support this idea if Cinci had a domed stadium! [Oh, yes, and it had good shuttle bus service!]

As a lifelong resident of Cincinnati (sans 4 years of Athens) I would love to see a facility built eventually along the lines of what is in the works for Nashville/The Titans or similar to Lucas Oil in Indy. But the odds of that ever happening are about as likely as the Bobcats making the College Football Playoff.

Ohio-The State University

BillyTheCat
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Member Since: 10/6/2012
Post Count: 8,949

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/8/2023 12:19:11 PM

OUcats82 wrote:

OhioCatFan wrote:

BryanHall wrote:

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

I would support this idea if Cinci had a domed stadium! [Oh, yes, and it had good shuttle bus service!]

If it is, you can say bye bye Bengals, because NO way will the tax payers ever pass another stadium levy like the one they got hosed on for the Bengals stadium. Still the worse public tax funded stadium in U.S. history.

https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=worse+stadium+deal+e...

M.D.W.S.T
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Member Since: 12/23/2021
Post Count: 853

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/8/2023 2:46:32 PM

OhioCatFan wrote:

BryanHall wrote:

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

I would support this idea if Cinci had a domed stadium! [Oh, yes, and it had good shuttle bus service!]

Most of the stands are covered in Lower.com Field.

You don't wanna see OU vs North Texas in a foot of snow in Columbus?

OUcats82
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Member Since: 1/9/2005
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Post Count: 1,794

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/8/2023 3:26:49 PM

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

OhioCatFan wrote:

BryanHall wrote:

M.D.W.S.T wrote:

I think you would need more Northern bowl games to make that workable. However, if it an excuse to introduce a Skyline Chili Bowl in Cincinnati, I'm a supporter of the idea.

I would support this idea if Cinci had a domed stadium! [Oh, yes, and it had good shuttle bus service!]

Most of the stands are covered in Lower.com Field.

You don't wanna see OU vs North Texas in a foot of snow in Columbus?

I do wonder if there's ever been the prospect of Indy hosting a bowl at Lucas Oil? They tend to do well hosting large-scale sporting events. Tends to be a great venue for the BIG 23595 Championship Game.

Ohio-The State University

Trevor Stephens
General User

Member Since: 12/13/2017
Post Count: 228

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/18/2023 4:56:04 PM

Ohio Bowl Projections - After Week 3 - Updated 9/18

USA Today: Camellia Bowl vs. Troy

Athlon Sports: 68 Ventures Bowl vs. Georgia Southern

College Football Network: Boca Raton Bowl vs Coastal Carolina

Action Sports/ Brett McMurphy: 68 Ventures Bowl vs South Alabama

CBS Sports: Arizona Bowl vs Air Force

ESPN Bonagura: Bahamas Bowl vs. Liberty

ESPN Schlabach: Quick Lane Bowl vs. Michigan State

24/7 Sports: Camellia Bowl vs. Appalachian State

College Sports Madness: Famous Idaho Potato Bowl vs Wyoming

CFN: Camellia Bowl vs. Marshall

Victory
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Member Since: 3/10/2012
Post Count: 1,718

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/18/2023 6:59:40 PM

I have to start my yearly tradition of summing a computer rankings odds of every teams bowl eligibility to project how many eligible teams there will be. I don't think this watch will be a concern for us this year. Teamrankings right now gives Ohio a 98.1% chance to be eligible which is the 25th highest in the country. I says a 15.6% chance to win the MAC which is second to Toledo's 57.8%. It gives us a 45.1% chance to win the East which is the best. It favor's Ohio in all of their remaining games. 9 regular season wins is most likely (26.2%), followed by 10 (23.9), 8 (19.9), and gives us a 11.7% chance to run the table.

The sum of all team's bowl eligibility chances is 78.98. There are 82 spots to fill so according to that even if we win only 6 games we have a very good chance to still go bowling.

Campus Flow
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Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 4,862

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/18/2023 7:32:27 PM

Victory wrote:

That was about what I was thinking, 3-1 and going into MAC play Ohio had to be close to 99% chance for a bowl.

With the Cat's playing in Boca Raton earlier this season Camelia Bowl is probably most likely. Against a SBC division winner (assuming Ohio wins the East) which is so difficult to predict on the SBC side of things. SBC is practically a new conference with the new membership and the pecking order has yet to sort out.

Most Memorable Bobcat Events Attended
2010 97-83 win over Georgetown in NCAA 1st round
2012 45-13 victory over ULM in the Independence Bowl
2015 34-3 drubbing of Miami @ Peden front of 25,086

Campus Flow
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Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 4,862

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/19/2023 12:24:52 PM

I feel pretty good about the division at this point. Its not going to be easy but there are definitely some layups, enough to give me projections on a bowl appearance.

Miami got that UC win but I don't think it means much in the greater scheme. Chuck Martin's teams have a habit of fading toward the end of the season. If the Miami game was on the road I would be more concerned. The UC win was a big upset. Ohio's win over Iowa St had Scott Van Pelt picking it.

Most Memorable Bobcat Events Attended
2010 97-83 win over Georgetown in NCAA 1st round
2012 45-13 victory over ULM in the Independence Bowl
2015 34-3 drubbing of Miami @ Peden front of 25,086

Victory
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Member Since: 3/10/2012
Post Count: 1,718

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/24/2023 12:32:39 PM

Campus Flow wrote:

That was about what I was thinking, 3-1 and going into MAC play Ohio had to be close to 99% chance for a bowl.

Now, after week four, teamrankings gives Ohio a 99.9% chance to be eligible. 10 of the best teams in the country it has rounded up to 100% already so this is tied for 11th with Miami (FL) and Notre Dame. It gives Ohio a 62.2% chance to win the East with Miami at 29.3%. Toledo has a 50.5% chance to win the MAC, Ohio 28.3%, Miami 13.1%, and CMU 3.3%. Everyone else in around 1% or less.

The sum of eligibility is down to 77.8. Some 5 win teams will probably go bowling.

Campus Flow
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Member Since: 12/20/2004
Location: Alexandria, VA
Post Count: 4,862

Status: Offline

RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/24/2023 2:32:45 PM

With the way things look Ohio is playing for a MAC title more so than a bowl game this year. Last year at this point losing the MAC opener to Kent St it did feel as if it was about playing for a good year.

Its still possible to break the school record for wins this year too.

Most Memorable Bobcat Events Attended
2010 97-83 win over Georgetown in NCAA 1st round
2012 45-13 victory over ULM in the Independence Bowl
2015 34-3 drubbing of Miami @ Peden front of 25,086

Pataskala
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Member Since: 7/8/2010
Location: At least six feet away from anybody else
Post Count: 8,974

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RE: Bowl Projections 2023-24

Posted: 9/24/2023 9:26:30 PM

With four wins at this point, we could be bowl eligible by Oct 14, if we beat Kent and NIU. That would probably be the earliest since 2012 when we started 7-0.

Of course, that year we crapped in November and didn't the division.

We will get by.
We will get by.
We will get by.
We will survive.

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