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Topic: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Topic: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

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GraffZ06
General User

Member Since: 1/5/2005
Location: Dayton, OH
Post Count: 2,112

Status: Offline

Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/19/2025 5:09:21 PM

We're roughly halfway through the 24-25 season so I thought I'd put together a post ranking MAC players performances, All-MAC style, but based solely on advanced statistics. (i.e. with zero regard to counting stats like points, rebounds, assists, steals and blocks).

Why? Because advanced stats do a better (not perfect) job at identifying players skill and impact on the court while normalizing for volume/usage, tempo and playing time.

I'm using Torvik's site, with the following stats:
PRPG!: Points over Replacement Player per adjusted Game at that usage
D-PRPG!: Defensive PRPG!
BPM: Box Plus-Minus
OBPM: Offensive Box Plus-Minus
DBPM: Defensive Box Plus-Minus

PRPG and D-PRPG are very similar to WAR (Wins Above Replacement) if you follow advanced baseball stats, and the other 3 attempt to quantify how well your team plays when you're on the floor via plus-minus.

I then applied a weighted sum of the above stats, normalized to 100 to reach a single "score" for each player (minimum 25% of team minutes played to be eligible). If a player scored 100, it would mean they were best in the conference at all 5 advanced stat categories. 0 would be worst in the conference at all 5 etc.

Without further ado...

First-Team All-MAC
1. VonCameron Davis, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (Player of the Year) (Score: 89.94)
2. AJ Clayton, Ohio, 6-7 Sr (88.62)
3. Eian Elmer, Miami, 6-6 So (87.63)
4. Peter Suder, Miami, 6-5 Jr (82.72)
5. Jakobi Heady, CMU, 6-6 Sr (77.62)

Second-Team All-MAC
1. Javontae Campbell, BG, 6-2 Jr (75.22)
2. Aidan Hadaway, Ohio, 6-8 Jr (74.34)
3. Amani Lyles, Akron, 6-7 Jr (72.04)
4. Chansey Willis Jr, WMU, 6-2 Jr (72.02)
5. AJ Brown, Ohio, 6-4 So (71.16)

Third-Team
1. Cli'ron Hornbeak, Kent St, 6-9 Sr (69.78)
2. Sharron Young, Akron, 6-0 Fr (69.70)
3. Nate Johnson, Akron, 6-3 Sr (69.35)
4. Morgan Safford, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (68.50)
5. Isaiah Gray, Akron, 6-3 Sr (67.46)

Honorable Mention
1. Shammah Scott, Akron, 6-2 Sr (65.78)
2. Brant Byers, Miami, 6-8 Fr (65.34)
3. JaVaughn Hannah, WMU, 6-4 Jr (65.32)
4. Anthony Pritchard, CMU, 6-3 Sr (65.31)
5. Sonny Wilson, Toledo, 6-1 So (65.15)

All-Defensive Team (DPRPG + DBPM)
1. VonCameron Davis, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (DPoY)
2. Javontae Campbell, BG, 6-2 Jr
3. Cli'ron Hornbeak, Kent St, 6-9 Sr
4. Anthony Pritchard, CMU, 6-3 Sr
5. Eian Elmer, Miami, 6-6 So

All-Freshman Team
1. Sharron Young, Akron, 6-0 Fr (FoY)
2. Brant Byers, Miami, 6-8 Fr
3. Luke Skaljac, Miami, 6-2 Fr
4. Jamai Felt, BG, 6-10 Fr
5. Ben Michaels, Buffalo, 6-8 Fr

Discuss....

Jeff McKinney
Moderator

Member Since: 11/12/2004
Post Count: 6,128

Status: Offline

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/20/2025 5:05:35 PM

Interesting. Thanks for the effort.

Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
General User

Member Since: 7/30/2010
Post Count: 3,762

Status: Online

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/20/2025 5:43:31 PM

This is cool. Would love to see the raw data (i.e. the data before you calculated the weighted sum for Ohio's guys. I'm particularly interested to see how Hadaway's numbers breakdown between offense/defense.

GoCats105
General User

Member Since: 1/31/2006
Location: Seattle, WA
Post Count: 7,227

Status: Offline

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/21/2025 6:16:13 PM

Careful now, this might be seen as cherry picking stats.

GoCats105
General User

Member Since: 1/31/2006
Location: Seattle, WA
Post Count: 7,227

Status: Offline

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/21/2025 6:20:31 PM

Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame wrote:

Same but for Pav.

Bobcat Love's Sense of Shame
General User

Member Since: 7/30/2010
Post Count: 3,762

Status: Online

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 1/21/2025 6:26:29 PM

GoCats105 wrote:

Careful now, this might be seen as cherry picking stats.

Careful now, this may be seen for exactly what it is: needlessly piling on and detailing an interesting thread with petty bullsh*t.

GraffZ06
General User

Member Since: 1/5/2005
Location: Dayton, OH
Post Count: 2,112

Status: Offline

RE: Halfway, All-MAC Awards (Advanced Stats Edition)

Posted: 2/2/2025 2:18:46 PM

Updated list after 2 more weeks of games. Recall minimum 25% of teams minutes played to qualify (So Morgan Safford is going to fall off the list soon). I'll also provide the raw data for our guys since some wanted to see that. I'm just going to list the guys 1-20, instead of the 5 player 1st,2nd,3rd team etc. You can correlate to that on your own.

MAC Overall:
1. VonCameron Davis, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (88.57)
2. AJ Clayton, Ohio, 6-7 Sr (87.71)
3. Nate Johnson, Akron, 6-3 Sr (82.21)
4. Eian Elmer, Miami, 6-6 So (80.70)
5. Peter Suder, Miami, 6-5 Jr (78.90)
6. Aidan Hadaway, Ohio, 6-8 Jr (75.59)
7. Marquis Barnett, Kent St, 6-4 Sr (74.95)
8. Isaiah Gray, Akron, 6-3 Sr (74.03)
9. Amani Lyles, Akron, 6-7 Jr (74.03)
10. AJ Brown, Ohio, 6-4 So (73.82)
11. Javontae Campbell, BG, 6-2 Jr (73.61)
12. Shammah Scott, Akron, 6-2 Sr (72.36)
13. Cli'ron Hornbeak, Kent St, 6-9 Sr (72.16)
14. Morgan Safford, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (70.68)
15. Payton Sparks, Ball St, 6-10 Sr (70.57)
16. Delrecco Gillespie, Kent St, 6-8 Jr (69.91)
17. Jakobi Heady, CMU, 6-6 Sr (69.08)
18. Tavari Johnson, Akron, 5-11 Jr (67.10)
19. Anthony Pritchard, CMU, 6-3 Sr (66.20)
20. Sonny Wilson, Toledo, 6-1 So (65.14)

MAC Defense Only:
1. VonCameron Davis, Kent St, 6-5 Sr (37.91)
2. Nate Johnson, Akron, 6-3 Sr (34.65)
3. Cli'ron Hornbeak, Kent St, 6-9 Sr (34.58)
4. Anthony Pritchard, CMU, 6-3 Sr (34.03)
5. Javontae Campbell, BG, 6-2 Jr (33.29)

MAC Freshman Only:
1. Brant Byers, Miami, 6-8 Fr (62.78)
2. Sharron Young, Akron, 6-0 Fr (61.80)
3. Luke Skaljac, Miami, 6-2 Fr (51.12)
4. Jamai Felt, BG, 6-10 Fr (49.01)
5. Ben Michaels, Buffalo, 6-8 Fr (45.31)

Ohio Players Overall (97 MAC players qualified):
#2 AJ Clayton (87.71)
#6 Aidan Hadaway (75.59)
#10 AJ Brown (73.82)
#28 Jackson Paveletzke (63.16)
#32 Shereef Mitchell (59.61)
#47 Ajay Sheldon (52.73)
#55 Elmore James (47.91)
#69 Vic Searls (42.69)
#87 Elijah Elliott (27.67)

Ohio Players Defense Only (Out of 97):
#9 Aidan Hadaway (29.41)
#16 AJ Clayton (28.01)
#22 Shereef Mitchell (25.55)
#23 Ajay Sheldon (24.40)
#27 AJ Brown (22.38)
#34 Vic Searls (19.32)
#39 Elmore James (18.91)
#41 Jackson Paveletzke (18.29)
#88 Elijah Elliott (8.73)

Ohio Players Offense Only:
#1 AJ Clayton (59.70)
#4 AJ Brown (51.44)
#11 Aidan Hadaway (46.18)
#17 Jackson Paveletzke (44.87)
#49 Shereef Mitchell (34.06)
#66 Elmore James (29.00)
#69 Ajay Sheldon (28.33)
#80 Vic Searls (23.37)
#88 Elijah Elliott (18.94)

Raw Stats for Ohio Players:
AJ Clayton, PRPG = 3.1 / DPRPG = 2.7 / BPM = 5.2 / OBPM = 4.7 / DBPM = 0.5
Aidan Hadaway, PRPG = 2.1 / DPRPG = 2.6 / BPM = 2.3 / OBPM = 1.2 / DBPM = 1.2
AJ Brown, PRPG = 2.6 / DPRPG = 2.1 / BPM = 2.8 / OBPM = 2.8 / DBPM = 0.0
Jackson Paveletzke, PRPG = 2.4 / DPRPG = 2.2 / BPM = 0.0 / OBPM = 1.5 / DBPM = -1.6
Shereef Mitchell, PRPG = 1.2 / DPRPG = 2.3 / BPM = -0.9 / OBPM = -1.4 / DBPM = 0.6
Ajay Sheldon, PRPG = 0.2 / DPRPG = 1.7 / BPM = -0.8 / OBPM = -2.4 / DBPM = 1.6
Elmore James, PRPG = 0.6 / DPRPG = 1.9 / BPM = -2.4 / OBPM = -1.7 / DBPM = -0.7
Vic Searls, PRPG = 0.3 / DPRPG = 1.7 / BPM = -3.6 / OBPM = -3.5 / DBPM = -0.1
Elijah Elliott, PRPG = 0.0 / DPRPG = 0.9 / BPM = -5.6 / OBPM = -3.8 / DBPM = -1.8

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